Baseball Projection.com

Jose Marte

Age: 26 Team: ARI
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
2 4 47 54 9 30 33 2 35 32 6.13 44 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 34 49 28 21 10 3 9.26
20th 37 50 29 24 10 3 8.51
30th 40 52 29 27 10 2 7.65
40th 44 52 30 30 9 2 6.55
50th 47 54 30 33 9 2 6.13
60th 49 53 29 35 8 2 5.69
70th 50 53 29 37 8 1 5.40
80th 53 51 27 39 7 1 4.42
90th 55 49 26 42 5 1 3.76

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
1 0.1 0.8

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 26 48 53 29 32 8 2 5.72 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 27 43 48 26 28 8 2 5.94 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 28 39 44 23 25 7 1 5.85 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 29 35 39 20 23 6 1 5.68 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 30 31 36 19 20 6 1 6.20 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 31 28 32 17 18 5 1 6.00 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.