Baseball Projection.com

Joseph Martinez

Age: 26 Team: SFN

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Won	Lost	IP	Hits	HR	BB	SO	HB	Runs	ER	ERA	Games	GS
6	9	139	151	18	51	90	5	78	72	4.66	25	25

**Percentiles**
Percentile	Innings	Hits	BB	SO	HR	HB	ERA
10th	104	132	47	63	20	6	6.32
20th	113	136	48	70	19	6	5.73
30th	122	141	49	77	19	5	5.31
40th	130	146	50	83	18	5	4.98
50th	139	151	51	90	18	5	4.66
60th	142	150	50	94	17	5	4.37
70th	146	150	49	97	16	4	4.19
80th	151	148	48	102	14	3	3.75
90th	155	145	46	107	12	3	3.37

Weighted Value above replacement
Runs Wins Value ($mil)

14 1.3 6.1

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEAR AGE Innings Hits BB SO HR HB ERA Ex. Lev WAR Value ($mil)
2009 26 138 153 51 86 20 5 4.90 1.0 1.0 4.6

2010 27 124 138 45 77 18 5 4.91 1.0 0.8 4.1

2011 28 112 125 40 68 16 4 4.88 1.0 0.9 4.6

2012 29 101 113 35 61 15 4 4.92 1.0 0.8 4.5

2013 30 91 102 32 54 13 3 4.88 1.0 0.7 4.3

2014 31 81 91 30 48 12 3 5.00 1.0 0.5 3.4

**Weighted Value above replacement**
Runs	Wins	Value ($mil)
14	1.3	6.1

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Innings	Hits	BB	SO	HR	HB	ERA	Ex. Lev	WAR	Value ($mil)
2009	26	138	153	51	86	20	5	4.90	1.0	1.0	4.6
2010	27	124	138	45	77	18	5	4.91	1.0	0.8	4.1
2011	28	112	125	40	68	16	4	4.88	1.0	0.9	4.6
2012	29	101	113	35	61	15	4	4.92	1.0	0.8	4.5
2013	30	91	102	32	54	13	3	4.88	1.0	0.7	4.3
2014	31	81	91	30	48	12	3	5.00	1.0	0.5	3.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.