Baseball Projection.com

Pedro Martinez

Age: 37 Team: free
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
4 5 76 83 11 29 58 4 45 42 4.97 14 14

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 57 73 27 41 12 5 6.79
20th 62 75 27 46 11 4 5.95
30th 67 77 28 50 11 4 5.51
40th 72 80 28 54 11 4 5.13
50th 76 83 29 58 11 4 4.97
60th 78 82 29 60 10 4 4.62
70th 81 82 28 63 10 3 4.22
80th 83 81 27 65 9 3 3.90
90th 86 80 26 69 8 2 3.45

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
7 0.7 3.5

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 37 76 83 29 58 11 4 4.93 1.0 0.6 2.5
2010 38 68 75 27 51 10 4 5.06 1.0 0.4 1.8
2011 39 61 68 24 45 9 3 5.08 1.0 0.3 1.5
2012 40 55 61 22 39 8 3 5.08 1.0 0.3 1.7
2013 41 49 56 21 34 8 3 5.47 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 42 44 50 19 30 7 2 5.37 1.0 0.1 0.7

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.