Shairon Martis
Age: 22
Team: WAS
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 5 |
8 |
119 |
123 |
18 |
59 |
91 |
3 |
71 |
66 |
4.99 |
23 |
23 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
89 |
108 |
53 |
65 |
19 |
4 |
6.67 |
| 20th |
96 |
112 |
55 |
71 |
19 |
4 |
6.28 |
| 30th |
104 |
115 |
56 |
78 |
18 |
3 |
5.63 |
| 40th |
111 |
119 |
58 |
84 |
18 |
3 |
5.27 |
| 50th |
119 |
123 |
59 |
91 |
18 |
3 |
4.99 |
| 60th |
122 |
122 |
58 |
94 |
17 |
3 |
4.65 |
| 70th |
125 |
122 |
58 |
98 |
16 |
2 |
4.39 |
| 80th |
129 |
120 |
56 |
102 |
15 |
2 |
3.98 |
| 90th |
133 |
118 |
54 |
108 |
13 |
1 |
3.59 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 10 |
1.0 |
4.8 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
22 |
118 |
124 |
59 |
85 |
18 |
3 |
5.05 |
1.0 |
0.7 |
2.9 |
| 2010 |
23 |
107 |
111 |
52 |
78 |
16 |
3 |
4.93 |
1.0 |
0.8 |
3.7 |
| 2011 |
24 |
96 |
100 |
46 |
72 |
15 |
3 |
4.99 |
1.0 |
0.6 |
3.0 |
| 2012 |
25 |
87 |
90 |
41 |
65 |
13 |
2 |
4.86 |
1.0 |
0.7 |
3.9 |
| 2013 |
26 |
79 |
81 |
36 |
58 |
12 |
2 |
4.80 |
1.0 |
0.7 |
4.3 |
| 2014 |
27 |
71 |
73 |
32 |
52 |
11 |
2 |
4.83 |
1.0 |
0.6 |
4.0 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.