Baseball Projection.com

Christopher Mason

Age: 24 Team: TBA

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Won	Lost	IP	Hits	HR	BB	SO	HB	Runs	ER	ERA	Games	GS
5	8	123	143	21	51	78	6	81	75	5.49	24	24

**Percentiles**
Percentile	Innings	Hits	BB	SO	HR	HB	ERA
10th	93	124	46	55	22	7	7.16
20th	101	128	47	61	21	7	6.50
30th	108	133	48	67	21	6	6.08
40th	116	138	50	72	21	6	5.74
50th	123	143	51	78	21	6	5.49
60th	126	143	50	81	20	6	5.21
70th	130	142	50	84	19	5	4.85
80th	134	141	48	88	18	5	4.57
90th	138	138	47	93	16	4	4.11

Weighted Value above replacement
Runs Wins Value ($mil)

6 0.6 3.0

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEAR AGE Innings Hits BB SO HR HB ERA Ex. Lev WAR Value ($mil)
2009 24 123 145 50 82 21 6 5.56 1.0 0.0 0.4

2010 25 111 131 44 74 19 5 5.53 1.0 0.0 0.4

2011 26 100 118 39 66 17 4 5.49 1.0 0.1 0.5

2012 27 90 108 34 59 16 4 5.62 1.0 0.0 0.4

2013 28 81 97 30 53 14 4 5.57 1.0 0.0 0.4

2014 29 73 88 27 47 13 3 5.61 1.0 0.0 0.4

**Weighted Value above replacement**
Runs	Wins	Value ($mil)
6	0.6	3.0

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Innings	Hits	BB	SO	HR	HB	ERA	Ex. Lev	WAR	Value ($mil)
2009	24	123	145	50	82	21	6	5.56	1.0	0.0	0.4
2010	25	111	131	44	74	19	5	5.53	1.0	0.0	0.4
2011	26	100	118	39	66	17	4	5.49	1.0	0.1	0.5
2012	27	90	108	34	59	16	4	5.62	1.0	0.0	0.4
2013	28	81	97	30	53	14	4	5.57	1.0	0.0	0.4
2014	29	73	88	27	47	13	3	5.61	1.0	0.0	0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.