Baseball Projection.com

Kazuo Matsui

Age: 33 Team: HOU

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Games	Atbats	Runs	Hits	2B	3B	HR	RBI	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG	R150	POS	Speed
105	387	62	103	21	3	6	36	16	4	33	68	1	0.266	0.325	0.382	-16	2B	8.1

**Percentiles**
Percentile	LW Runs	vs. Repl	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
10th	-22	0	315	75	13	1	3	22	61	0	0.238	0.288	0.314
20th	-19	0	334	81	15	2	3	24	63	0	0.243	0.293	0.326
30th	-18	0	351	88	17	2	4	27	65	1	0.251	0.306	0.345
40th	-15	0	369	96	19	2	5	30	66	1	0.260	0.318	0.363
50th	-11	2	387	103	21	3	6	33	68	1	0.266	0.325	0.382
60th	-8	7	431	118	25	4	7	38	73	2	0.274	0.335	0.399
70th	-3	14	475	135	29	5	9	44	78	2	0.284	0.347	0.423
80th	1	19	518	150	34	6	10	50	83	3	0.290	0.356	0.436
90th	9	29	562	168	39	7	12	56	87	3	0.299	0.366	0.457

Weighted Batting Runs over Replacement:

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
2009	33	388	103	21	3	5	16	4	32	67	1	0.265	0.323	0.374
2010	34	369	96	20	2	5	13	3	30	66	1	0.260	0.318	0.366
2011	35	350	88	18	2	4	11	3	29	63	1	0.251	0.311	0.349
2012	36	332	82	17	2	4	10	3	28	60	1	0.247	0.307	0.346
2013	37	315	76	15	1	4	8	2	27	57	1	0.241	0.303	0.333
2014	38	300	71	14	1	4	7	2	25	56	1	0.237	0.298	0.330

**Defensive Projection**
Position	1B	2B	3B	SS	OF	CF	C
Runs	--	5	--	0	--	--	--

Defensive projections based on major and minor league TotalZone ratings

**Simple Player Valuation**
if Defense is:	Wins above Rep	Dollar Value ($mil)
Excellent (+15 runs)	1.9	8.4
Good (+7 runs)	1.4	6.2
Average (0 runs)	1	4.4
Poor (-7 runs)	0.7	3.1
Putrid (-15 runs)	0.4	1.8

Player valuation is based on 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009. It includes weighted batting runs above replacement, position adjustment, baserunning based on speed score, and YOU provide the defense estimate based on the above chart.

**Fantasy Valuation**
League type	20th	50th	80th
12 team mixed	1	1	11
12 team AL or NL only	1	1	20

Fantasy baseball value assumes a standard $260 salary cap.