Ryan Mattheus
Age: 25
Team: COL
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 3 |
4 |
65 |
71 |
8 |
33 |
51 |
2 |
39 |
36 |
4.98 |
59 |
0 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
49 |
62 |
30 |
36 |
9 |
3 |
6.80 |
| 20th |
52 |
65 |
31 |
39 |
9 |
3 |
6.58 |
| 30th |
57 |
66 |
31 |
44 |
8 |
2 |
5.53 |
| 40th |
61 |
69 |
32 |
47 |
8 |
2 |
5.31 |
| 50th |
65 |
71 |
33 |
51 |
8 |
2 |
4.98 |
| 60th |
67 |
70 |
33 |
53 |
7 |
2 |
4.57 |
| 70th |
69 |
70 |
32 |
55 |
7 |
1 |
4.30 |
| 80th |
71 |
69 |
31 |
58 |
6 |
1 |
3.93 |
| 90th |
74 |
67 |
30 |
61 |
5 |
1 |
3.41 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 3 |
0.3 |
1.7 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
25 |
66 |
69 |
33 |
51 |
7 |
2 |
4.65 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2010 |
26 |
59 |
63 |
29 |
45 |
7 |
2 |
4.84 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2011 |
27 |
53 |
57 |
25 |
41 |
6 |
2 |
4.80 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2012 |
28 |
48 |
52 |
22 |
36 |
6 |
2 |
4.90 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2013 |
29 |
43 |
46 |
20 |
32 |
5 |
2 |
4.80 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2014 |
30 |
39 |
42 |
18 |
29 |
4 |
1 |
4.67 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.