Baseball Projection.com

Blake Maxwell

Age: 24 Team: BOS
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
3 3 57 65 7 21 25 3 34 31 4.89 51 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 42 58 20 16 8 4 7.07
20th 46 60 20 18 8 4 6.46
30th 50 62 20 21 8 3 5.76
40th 54 63 21 23 7 3 5.17
50th 57 65 21 25 7 3 4.89
60th 59 64 20 26 6 3 4.58
70th 61 64 20 28 6 2 4.28
80th 63 62 19 30 5 2 3.71
90th 66 61 18 32 4 1 3.14

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
2 0.2 1.3

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 24 58 64 21 27 7 3 4.74 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 25 52 58 19 24 7 3 4.92 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 26 47 53 16 22 6 2 4.82 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 27 42 47 15 20 5 2 4.78 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 28 38 43 13 17 5 2 4.90 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 29 34 38 11 16 4 2 4.70 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.