Baseball Projection.com

Lucas May

Age: 24 Team: LAN

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Games	Atbats	Runs	Hits	2B	3B	HR	RBI	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG	R150	POS	Speed
118	455	55	96	21	2	12	58	6	2	28	136	3	0.211	0.261	0.345	-41	C	5.3

**Percentiles**
Percentile	LW Runs	vs. Repl	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
10th	-39	0	316	55	10	1	5	14	104	1	0.174	0.211	0.259
20th	-38	0	352	64	13	1	6	17	113	1	0.182	0.222	0.276
30th	-37	0	386	74	15	1	8	21	121	2	0.192	0.237	0.298
40th	-35	0	421	85	18	2	10	24	129	2	0.202	0.248	0.325
50th	-32	0	455	96	21	2	12	28	136	3	0.211	0.261	0.345
60th	-27	0	488	107	25	3	14	32	143	4	0.219	0.273	0.369
70th	-21	0	522	120	28	4	17	36	149	5	0.230	0.286	0.397
80th	-17	2	555	133	33	4	19	40	155	6	0.240	0.298	0.416
90th	-9	11	588	147	37	6	22	45	160	7	0.250	0.311	0.446

Weighted Batting Runs over Replacement:

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
2009	24	457	96	22	2	11	6	2	26	133	3	0.210	0.257	0.339
2010	25	456	97	23	2	12	6	2	27	130	3	0.213	0.261	0.351
2011	26	455	98	23	2	12	6	2	28	126	3	0.215	0.265	0.354
2012	27	455	98	23	2	12	5	2	28	125	3	0.215	0.265	0.354
2013	28	454	97	23	2	12	5	2	29	125	3	0.214	0.265	0.352
2014	29	453	95	23	2	12	5	2	30	126	3	0.210	0.263	0.349

**Defensive Projection**
Position	1B	2B	3B	SS	OF	CF	C
Runs	--	--	--	-16	1	-7	-33

Defensive projections based on major and minor league TotalZone ratings

**Simple Player Valuation**
if Defense is:	Wins above Rep	Dollar Value ($mil)
Excellent (+15 runs)	1.1	4.8
Good (+7 runs)	0.7	3.1
Average (0 runs)	0.5	2.2
Poor (-7 runs)	0.2	0.9
Putrid (-15 runs)	0.1	0.4

Player valuation is based on 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009. It includes weighted batting runs above replacement, position adjustment, baserunning based on speed score, and YOU provide the defense estimate based on the above chart.

**Fantasy Valuation**
League type	20th	50th	80th
12 team mixed	1	1	1
12 team AL or NL only	1	1	17

Fantasy baseball value assumes a standard $260 salary cap.