Vincent Mazzaro
Age: 22
Team: OAK
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 6 |
9 |
135 |
146 |
16 |
59 |
80 |
10 |
79 |
73 |
4.87 |
25 |
25 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
102 |
126 |
54 |
56 |
17 |
11 |
6.35 |
| 20th |
111 |
131 |
55 |
62 |
17 |
10 |
5.84 |
| 30th |
119 |
136 |
56 |
68 |
16 |
10 |
5.45 |
| 40th |
127 |
141 |
58 |
74 |
16 |
10 |
5.17 |
| 50th |
135 |
146 |
59 |
80 |
16 |
10 |
4.87 |
| 60th |
139 |
146 |
58 |
83 |
15 |
9 |
4.53 |
| 70th |
143 |
145 |
58 |
87 |
14 |
9 |
4.28 |
| 80th |
147 |
144 |
56 |
91 |
13 |
8 |
3.98 |
| 90th |
152 |
141 |
54 |
96 |
11 |
7 |
3.55 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 12 |
1.1 |
5.2 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
22 |
135 |
147 |
60 |
88 |
16 |
10 |
4.94 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
4.2 |
| 2010 |
23 |
122 |
132 |
53 |
81 |
14 |
9 |
4.85 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
4.6 |
| 2011 |
24 |
110 |
118 |
47 |
75 |
13 |
8 |
4.80 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
5.1 |
| 2012 |
25 |
99 |
107 |
42 |
67 |
12 |
7 |
4.85 |
1.0 |
0.8 |
4.5 |
| 2013 |
26 |
89 |
96 |
37 |
60 |
10 |
6 |
4.75 |
1.0 |
0.8 |
4.9 |
| 2014 |
27 |
81 |
87 |
32 |
54 |
9 |
6 |
4.68 |
1.0 |
0.8 |
5.4 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.