Zachary McAllister
Age: 21
Team: NYA
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 3 |
4 |
61 |
74 |
13 |
28 |
32 |
3 |
45 |
42 |
6.2 |
12 |
12 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
44 |
68 |
28 |
19 |
15 |
4 |
9.61 |
| 20th |
48 |
69 |
28 |
23 |
14 |
4 |
8.44 |
| 30th |
53 |
71 |
28 |
26 |
14 |
3 |
7.30 |
| 40th |
57 |
72 |
28 |
29 |
13 |
3 |
6.79 |
| 50th |
61 |
74 |
28 |
32 |
13 |
3 |
6.20 |
| 60th |
63 |
73 |
27 |
34 |
12 |
3 |
5.71 |
| 70th |
66 |
72 |
26 |
36 |
11 |
2 |
5.05 |
| 80th |
69 |
69 |
24 |
39 |
9 |
2 |
4.17 |
| 90th |
72 |
66 |
23 |
42 |
7 |
1 |
3.50 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 4 |
0.4 |
2.2 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
21 |
62 |
72 |
29 |
34 |
13 |
3 |
5.95 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2010 |
22 |
56 |
64 |
26 |
31 |
11 |
3 |
5.77 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2011 |
23 |
50 |
58 |
23 |
29 |
10 |
2 |
5.82 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2012 |
24 |
46 |
52 |
20 |
27 |
9 |
2 |
5.58 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2013 |
25 |
41 |
47 |
18 |
24 |
8 |
2 |
5.69 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2014 |
26 |
37 |
42 |
16 |
21 |
7 |
2 |
5.59 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.