Kyle McCulloch
Age: 24
Team: CHA
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 4 |
8 |
112 |
143 |
20 |
57 |
50 |
4 |
86 |
80 |
6.43 |
22 |
22 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
84 |
123 |
52 |
34 |
20 |
5 |
8.25 |
| 20th |
91 |
128 |
53 |
38 |
20 |
5 |
7.71 |
| 30th |
99 |
133 |
54 |
42 |
20 |
4 |
7.09 |
| 40th |
105 |
138 |
56 |
46 |
20 |
4 |
6.77 |
| 50th |
112 |
143 |
57 |
50 |
20 |
4 |
6.43 |
| 60th |
115 |
143 |
56 |
52 |
19 |
4 |
6.10 |
| 70th |
119 |
142 |
56 |
55 |
18 |
3 |
5.60 |
| 80th |
122 |
141 |
54 |
58 |
17 |
3 |
5.24 |
| 90th |
126 |
139 |
53 |
61 |
15 |
2 |
4.79 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 5 |
0.5 |
2.6 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
24 |
115 |
137 |
56 |
53 |
17 |
4 |
5.67 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2010 |
25 |
104 |
122 |
50 |
48 |
15 |
4 |
5.54 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2011 |
26 |
93 |
111 |
44 |
43 |
14 |
3 |
5.65 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2012 |
27 |
84 |
101 |
39 |
38 |
13 |
3 |
5.71 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2013 |
28 |
76 |
91 |
34 |
34 |
11 |
3 |
5.58 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2014 |
29 |
68 |
82 |
30 |
31 |
10 |
2 |
5.58 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.