Baseball Projection.com

James McDonald

Age: 24 Team: LAN

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Won	Lost	IP	Hits	HR	BB	SO	HB	Runs	ER	ERA	Games	GS
7	7	127	119	21	58	109	7	69	64	4.54	25	25

**Percentiles**
Percentile	Innings	Hits	BB	SO	HR	HB	ERA
10th	96	104	53	78	21	8	6.00
20th	103	108	54	86	21	8	5.59
30th	112	111	55	94	21	7	5.06
40th	119	115	57	101	21	7	4.84
50th	127	119	58	109	21	7	4.54
60th	130	118	57	113	20	7	4.29
70th	134	117	57	117	19	6	3.96
80th	138	116	55	122	18	5	3.65
90th	143	113	53	128	16	4	3.21

Weighted Value above replacement
Runs Wins Value ($mil)

14 1.3 6.1

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEAR AGE Innings Hits BB SO HR HB ERA Ex. Lev WAR Value ($mil)
2009 24 126 123 58 100 20 7 4.70 1.0 1.2 5.4

2010 25 114 111 51 90 18 6 4.64 1.0 1.1 5.5

2011 26 103 100 45 81 16 5 4.57 1.0 1.1 6.1

2012 27 92 91 40 72 15 5 4.72 1.0 0.9 5.0

2013 28 83 83 35 64 14 4 4.76 1.0 0.8 4.9

2014 29 75 75 31 57 12 4 4.69 1.0 0.8 5.4

**Weighted Value above replacement**
Runs	Wins	Value ($mil)
14	1.3	6.1

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Innings	Hits	BB	SO	HR	HB	ERA	Ex. Lev	WAR	Value ($mil)
2009	24	126	123	58	100	20	7	4.70	1.0	1.2	5.4
2010	25	114	111	51	90	18	6	4.64	1.0	1.1	5.5
2011	26	103	100	45	81	16	5	4.57	1.0	1.1	6.1
2012	27	92	91	40	72	15	5	4.72	1.0	0.9	5.0
2013	28	83	83	35	64	14	4	4.76	1.0	0.8	4.9
2014	29	75	75	31	57	12	4	4.69	1.0	0.8	5.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.