Baseball Projection.com

Jacob McGee

Age: 22 Team: TBA
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
4 6 88 90 15 54 65 3 57 53 5.42 19 19

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 65 80 49 44 16 4 7.48
20th 71 83 50 50 16 4 6.85
30th 77 85 51 55 16 3 6.19
40th 82 87 53 60 15 3 5.71
50th 88 90 54 65 15 3 5.42
60th 90 89 53 68 14 3 5.00
70th 93 88 52 71 13 2 4.55
80th 96 86 51 75 12 2 4.13
90th 100 84 49 79 10 1 3.60

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
6 0.6 3.0

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 22 88 91 53 68 15 3 5.38 1.0 0.2 0.8
2010 23 79 82 47 63 14 3 5.43 1.0 0.1 0.5
2011 24 72 73 41 59 12 2 5.14 1.0 0.3 1.5
2012 25 65 66 36 53 11 2 5.13 1.0 0.3 1.7
2013 26 58 60 32 47 10 2 5.25 1.0 0.2 1.2
2014 27 53 54 28 42 9 2 5.10 1.0 0.3 2.0

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.