Dave McKae
Age: 27
Team: SFN
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 4 |
8 |
110 |
128 |
17 |
41 |
61 |
5 |
70 |
65 |
5.32 |
22 |
22 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
83 |
112 |
38 |
42 |
18 |
6 |
7.05 |
| 20th |
90 |
115 |
39 |
47 |
18 |
6 |
6.40 |
| 30th |
97 |
119 |
39 |
52 |
17 |
5 |
5.85 |
| 40th |
104 |
124 |
40 |
56 |
17 |
5 |
5.54 |
| 50th |
110 |
128 |
41 |
61 |
17 |
5 |
5.32 |
| 60th |
114 |
127 |
40 |
64 |
16 |
5 |
4.89 |
| 70th |
116 |
127 |
40 |
66 |
15 |
4 |
4.66 |
| 80th |
120 |
125 |
38 |
70 |
14 |
4 |
4.20 |
| 90th |
124 |
123 |
37 |
74 |
12 |
3 |
3.85 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 6 |
0.6 |
3.0 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
27 |
110 |
130 |
41 |
58 |
19 |
5 |
5.50 |
1.0 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
| 2010 |
28 |
99 |
117 |
37 |
52 |
17 |
4 |
5.48 |
1.0 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
| 2011 |
29 |
89 |
106 |
32 |
46 |
15 |
4 |
5.48 |
1.0 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
| 2012 |
30 |
80 |
95 |
30 |
41 |
14 |
3 |
5.53 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2013 |
31 |
72 |
86 |
27 |
36 |
12 |
3 |
5.52 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2014 |
32 |
64 |
77 |
25 |
32 |
11 |
3 |
5.66 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.