Baseball Projection.com

Marty McLeary

Age: 34 Team: TOR
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
2 4 56 63 9 25 38 2 36 33 5.3 13 13

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 40 58 25 24 11 3 8.55
20th 44 59 25 28 10 3 7.36
30th 48 61 25 31 10 2 6.56
40th 53 61 25 35 9 2 5.60
50th 56 63 25 38 9 2 5.30
60th 58 62 24 40 8 2 4.81
70th 61 61 23 43 7 1 4.13
80th 63 58 22 46 6 1 3.57
90th 66 57 20 49 5 0 3.00

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
7 0.7 3.5

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 34 57 62 25 40 8 2 4.98 1.0 0.4 1.7
2010 35 51 56 23 35 7 2 5.05 1.0 0.3 1.4
2011 36 46 51 21 31 7 1 5.17 1.0 0.2 1.0
2012 37 41 46 19 27 6 1 5.23 1.0 0.2 1.1
2013 38 37 41 18 24 5 1 5.15 1.0 0.2 1.2
2014 39 33 38 16 21 5 1 5.49 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.