Baseball Projection.com

Calvin Medlock

Age: 26 Team: TBA
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
2 3 50 52 8 25 32 2 31 29 5.22 45 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 37 47 23 21 9 3 7.54
20th 40 48 24 24 9 2 6.75
30th 44 49 24 27 8 2 5.73
40th 47 51 25 29 8 2 5.55
50th 50 52 25 32 8 2 5.22
60th 51 51 25 33 7 2 4.76
70th 53 51 24 35 7 2 4.42
80th 55 50 23 37 6 1 3.76
90th 57 48 22 40 5 1 3.32

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
1 0.1 0.8

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 26 50 53 24 34 8 2 5.12 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 27 45 47 22 30 7 2 5.05 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 28 40 44 19 27 7 1 5.36 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 29 37 39 17 24 6 1 5.01 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 30 33 35 15 21 5 1 4.97 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 31 29 32 14 19 5 1 5.41 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.