Luis Mendoza
Age: 25
Team: TEX
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 7 |
7 |
126 |
148 |
15 |
46 |
64 |
6 |
77 |
71 |
5.07 |
26 |
26 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
95 |
128 |
42 |
44 |
16 |
7 |
6.63 |
| 20th |
103 |
133 |
43 |
49 |
16 |
7 |
6.12 |
| 30th |
111 |
137 |
44 |
55 |
15 |
6 |
5.59 |
| 40th |
119 |
143 |
45 |
59 |
15 |
6 |
5.29 |
| 50th |
126 |
148 |
46 |
64 |
15 |
6 |
5.07 |
| 60th |
130 |
148 |
45 |
67 |
14 |
6 |
4.71 |
| 70th |
133 |
147 |
45 |
69 |
13 |
5 |
4.53 |
| 80th |
137 |
146 |
43 |
73 |
12 |
4 |
4.14 |
| 90th |
141 |
144 |
42 |
77 |
11 |
4 |
3.83 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 14 |
1.3 |
6.1 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
25 |
128 |
143 |
46 |
70 |
14 |
6 |
4.71 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
5.4 |
| 2010 |
26 |
115 |
129 |
41 |
62 |
12 |
6 |
4.71 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
5.1 |
| 2011 |
27 |
104 |
116 |
36 |
56 |
11 |
5 |
4.64 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
5.6 |
| 2012 |
28 |
93 |
105 |
32 |
50 |
10 |
5 |
4.73 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
5.0 |
| 2013 |
29 |
84 |
95 |
28 |
44 |
9 |
4 |
4.69 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
5.5 |
| 2014 |
30 |
75 |
86 |
26 |
39 |
8 |
4 |
4.82 |
1.0 |
0.6 |
4.0 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.