Thomas Mendoza
Age: 21
Team: LAA
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 3 |
7 |
91 |
121 |
19 |
51 |
35 |
4 |
78 |
72 |
7.12 |
18 |
18 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
66 |
108 |
48 |
21 |
21 |
5 |
10.23 |
| 20th |
72 |
111 |
49 |
25 |
21 |
5 |
9.38 |
| 30th |
78 |
114 |
49 |
28 |
20 |
5 |
8.42 |
| 40th |
85 |
118 |
50 |
32 |
20 |
4 |
7.73 |
| 50th |
91 |
121 |
51 |
35 |
19 |
4 |
7.12 |
| 60th |
94 |
120 |
50 |
37 |
18 |
3 |
6.51 |
| 70th |
97 |
118 |
49 |
40 |
16 |
3 |
6.03 |
| 80th |
101 |
116 |
47 |
43 |
14 |
2 |
5.35 |
| 90th |
106 |
113 |
44 |
46 |
12 |
1 |
4.58 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2 |
0.2 |
1.3 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
21 |
91 |
120 |
52 |
37 |
20 |
4 |
7.16 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2010 |
22 |
82 |
107 |
46 |
34 |
18 |
4 |
7.06 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2011 |
23 |
74 |
97 |
40 |
32 |
16 |
3 |
6.98 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2012 |
24 |
67 |
86 |
36 |
29 |
14 |
3 |
6.79 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2013 |
25 |
60 |
78 |
32 |
26 |
13 |
3 |
6.93 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2014 |
26 |
55 |
70 |
28 |
24 |
12 |
3 |
6.74 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.