Baseball Projection.com

Jacobo Meque

Age: 25 Team: LAN
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
2 3 42 42 7 28 38 2 27 25 5.36 40 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 30 38 27 25 8 3 8.40
20th 33 40 27 28 8 3 7.64
30th 36 41 27 32 8 2 6.75
40th 39 41 28 35 7 2 6.00
50th 42 42 28 38 7 2 5.36
60th 44 41 27 40 6 2 4.70
70th 45 41 27 42 6 1 4.40
80th 47 39 25 45 5 1 3.64
90th 50 37 24 48 4 0 3.06

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
1 0.1 0.8

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 25 41 44 28 35 7 2 5.83 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 26 37 39 25 31 6 2 5.66 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 27 34 35 22 28 5 2 5.37 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 28 30 33 19 25 5 1 5.75 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 29 27 30 17 22 5 1 5.94 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 30 25 26 16 20 4 1 5.44 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.