Garrett Mock
Age: 26
Team: WAS
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 6 |
8 |
120 |
124 |
15 |
48 |
99 |
5 |
65 |
60 |
4.5 |
24 |
24 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
90 |
108 |
44 |
71 |
16 |
6 |
6.00 |
| 20th |
98 |
112 |
45 |
78 |
16 |
6 |
5.51 |
| 30th |
105 |
115 |
46 |
85 |
15 |
5 |
5.06 |
| 40th |
112 |
120 |
47 |
92 |
15 |
5 |
4.82 |
| 50th |
120 |
124 |
48 |
99 |
15 |
5 |
4.50 |
| 60th |
123 |
123 |
47 |
103 |
14 |
5 |
4.17 |
| 70th |
126 |
123 |
47 |
106 |
13 |
4 |
4.00 |
| 80th |
130 |
122 |
45 |
111 |
12 |
4 |
3.67 |
| 90th |
134 |
120 |
44 |
116 |
11 |
3 |
3.36 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 14 |
1.3 |
6.1 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
26 |
119 |
126 |
48 |
92 |
15 |
5 |
4.64 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
5.4 |
| 2010 |
27 |
107 |
114 |
42 |
83 |
14 |
4 |
4.67 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
5.1 |
| 2011 |
28 |
97 |
103 |
37 |
74 |
12 |
4 |
4.58 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
5.6 |
| 2012 |
29 |
87 |
93 |
33 |
65 |
11 |
4 |
4.64 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
5.0 |
| 2013 |
30 |
78 |
84 |
30 |
58 |
10 |
3 |
4.69 |
1.0 |
0.8 |
4.9 |
| 2014 |
31 |
70 |
76 |
28 |
51 |
9 |
3 |
4.79 |
1.0 |
0.6 |
4.0 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.