Baseball Projection.com

Gustavo Molina

Age: 27 Team: WAS

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Games	Atbats	Runs	Hits	2B	3B	HR	RBI	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG	R150	POS	Speed
112	353	28	78	15	1	7	33	2	1	22	73	3	0.221	0.272	0.329	-40	C	2

**Percentiles**
Percentile	LW Runs	vs. Repl	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
10th	-23	0	199	36	5	0	2	9	46	1	0.181	0.220	0.236
20th	-26	0	238	45	7	0	3	12	54	1	0.189	0.231	0.256
30th	-26	0	277	55	9	0	4	15	61	2	0.199	0.245	0.274
40th	-26	0	315	66	12	0	5	19	67	2	0.210	0.259	0.295
50th	-25	0	353	78	15	1	7	22	73	3	0.221	0.272	0.329
60th	-21	0	384	88	18	1	8	26	76	4	0.229	0.285	0.344
70th	-18	0	415	99	21	1	10	30	80	5	0.239	0.298	0.366
80th	-14	2	446	111	25	1	12	34	83	6	0.249	0.311	0.390
90th	-8	9	477	123	28	2	14	38	86	7	0.258	0.322	0.413

Weighted Batting Runs over Replacement:

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
2009	27	354	77	15	1	7	2	1	21	76	3	0.218	0.267	0.325
2010	28	353	76	15	0	7	2	1	22	76	3	0.215	0.267	0.317
2011	29	353	74	14	0	7	2	1	22	76	3	0.210	0.262	0.309
2012	30	334	70	13	0	6	2	1	22	72	3	0.210	0.265	0.302
2013	31	317	66	12	0	6	2	1	21	69	3	0.208	0.264	0.303
2014	32	301	61	11	0	5	1	1	20	66	3	0.203	0.259	0.289

**Defensive Projection**
Position	1B	2B	3B	SS	OF	CF	C
Runs	2	--	3	--	--	--	-6

Defensive projections based on major and minor league TotalZone ratings

**Simple Player Valuation**
if Defense is:	Wins above Rep	Dollar Value ($mil)
Excellent (+15 runs)	0.8	3.5
Good (+7 runs)	0.5	2.2
Average (0 runs)	0.3	1.3
Poor (-7 runs)	0.1	0.4
Putrid (-15 runs)	0	0.4

Player valuation is based on 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009. It includes weighted batting runs above replacement, position adjustment, baserunning based on speed score, and YOU provide the defense estimate based on the above chart.

**Fantasy Valuation**
League type	20th	50th	80th
12 team mixed	1	1	1
12 team AL or NL only	1	1	1

Fantasy baseball value assumes a standard $260 salary cap.