Baseball Projection.com

Luke Montz

Age: 25 Team: WAS

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Games	Atbats	Runs	Hits	2B	3B	HR	RBI	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG	R150	POS	Speed
119	416	52	91	21	2	11	61	2	1	42	117	1	0.219	0.292	0.358	-30	C	3.7

**Percentiles**
Percentile	LW Runs	vs. Repl	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
10th	-26	0	260	47	9	0	4	21	80	0	0.181	0.242	0.262
20th	-27	0	300	58	12	1	6	26	90	0	0.193	0.258	0.300
30th	-27	0	339	68	14	1	7	31	100	0	0.201	0.268	0.310
40th	-25	0	378	80	18	1	9	36	109	1	0.212	0.282	0.336
50th	-22	0	416	91	21	2	11	42	117	1	0.219	0.292	0.358
60th	-18	0	445	102	24	2	13	47	122	2	0.229	0.306	0.380
70th	-13	4	474	113	28	3	15	52	127	2	0.238	0.316	0.405
80th	-7	11	502	124	31	3	17	58	131	3	0.247	0.329	0.422
90th	1	20	531	137	36	4	20	64	135	3	0.258	0.341	0.454

Weighted Batting Runs over Replacement:

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
2009	25	418	90	20	2	11	2	1	40	123	1	0.215	0.285	0.352
2010	26	417	91	21	2	11	2	1	41	119	1	0.218	0.290	0.357
2011	27	416	90	21	1	11	2	1	42	118	1	0.216	0.290	0.351
2012	28	415	89	20	1	11	2	1	43	118	1	0.214	0.290	0.347
2013	29	414	87	20	1	11	2	1	44	119	1	0.210	0.288	0.343
2014	30	392	83	19	1	11	2	1	43	112	1	0.212	0.291	0.349

**Defensive Projection**
Position	1B	2B	3B	SS	OF	CF	C
Runs	-1	--	--	--	--	--	-9

Defensive projections based on major and minor league TotalZone ratings

**Simple Player Valuation**
if Defense is:	Wins above Rep	Dollar Value ($mil)
Excellent (+15 runs)	1.5	6.6
Good (+7 runs)	1.1	4.8
Average (0 runs)	0.7	3.1
Poor (-7 runs)	0.5	2.2
Putrid (-15 runs)	0.2	0.9

Player valuation is based on 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009. It includes weighted batting runs above replacement, position adjustment, baserunning based on speed score, and YOU provide the defense estimate based on the above chart.

**Fantasy Valuation**
League type	20th	50th	80th
12 team mixed	1	1	1
12 team AL or NL only	1	1	15

Fantasy baseball value assumes a standard $260 salary cap.