Franklin Morales
Age: 23
Team: COL
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 6 |
8 |
128 |
132 |
16 |
86 |
94 |
6 |
81 |
75 |
5.27 |
25 |
25 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
97 |
113 |
76 |
67 |
16 |
7 |
6.59 |
| 20th |
104 |
118 |
78 |
74 |
16 |
7 |
6.32 |
| 30th |
112 |
123 |
80 |
81 |
16 |
6 |
5.87 |
| 40th |
120 |
128 |
83 |
87 |
16 |
6 |
5.55 |
| 50th |
128 |
132 |
86 |
94 |
16 |
6 |
5.27 |
| 60th |
131 |
132 |
86 |
97 |
15 |
6 |
5.02 |
| 70th |
134 |
132 |
85 |
101 |
15 |
5 |
4.77 |
| 80th |
138 |
130 |
84 |
105 |
13 |
5 |
4.37 |
| 90th |
143 |
129 |
82 |
110 |
12 |
4 |
3.97 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 11 |
1.0 |
4.8 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
23 |
129 |
129 |
85 |
94 |
15 |
6 |
4.98 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
3.8 |
| 2010 |
24 |
117 |
115 |
75 |
87 |
13 |
6 |
4.82 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
4.6 |
| 2011 |
25 |
106 |
104 |
66 |
78 |
12 |
5 |
4.77 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
5.1 |
| 2012 |
26 |
95 |
94 |
59 |
70 |
11 |
5 |
4.84 |
1.0 |
0.8 |
4.5 |
| 2013 |
27 |
86 |
85 |
52 |
63 |
10 |
4 |
4.78 |
1.0 |
0.8 |
4.9 |
| 2014 |
28 |
77 |
77 |
46 |
56 |
9 |
4 |
4.84 |
1.0 |
0.6 |
4.0 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.