Ryan Morse
Age: 26
Team: TBA
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 3 |
7 |
96 |
116 |
20 |
54 |
42 |
4 |
74 |
68 |
6.38 |
19 |
19 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
70 |
104 |
50 |
27 |
22 |
5 |
9.26 |
| 20th |
77 |
106 |
51 |
31 |
21 |
5 |
8.18 |
| 30th |
83 |
109 |
52 |
35 |
21 |
5 |
7.59 |
| 40th |
90 |
113 |
53 |
38 |
20 |
4 |
6.80 |
| 50th |
96 |
116 |
54 |
42 |
20 |
4 |
6.38 |
| 60th |
99 |
115 |
53 |
44 |
19 |
4 |
6.09 |
| 70th |
103 |
113 |
52 |
47 |
17 |
3 |
5.42 |
| 80th |
106 |
112 |
50 |
50 |
16 |
2 |
4.92 |
| 90th |
111 |
108 |
48 |
54 |
13 |
1 |
4.22 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 3 |
0.3 |
1.7 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
26 |
96 |
118 |
53 |
44 |
20 |
4 |
6.53 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2010 |
27 |
86 |
107 |
47 |
39 |
18 |
3 |
6.58 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2011 |
28 |
78 |
97 |
41 |
35 |
17 |
3 |
6.58 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2012 |
29 |
70 |
88 |
36 |
31 |
15 |
3 |
6.60 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2013 |
30 |
63 |
78 |
33 |
28 |
13 |
3 |
6.50 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2014 |
31 |
56 |
71 |
31 |
25 |
12 |
2 |
6.76 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.