Dustin Moseley
Age: 27
Team: LAA
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 6 |
8 |
134 |
158 |
19 |
46 |
82 |
5 |
83 |
77 |
5.17 |
28 |
28 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
102 |
135 |
42 |
59 |
19 |
6 |
6.44 |
| 20th |
110 |
141 |
43 |
64 |
19 |
6 |
6.05 |
| 30th |
118 |
146 |
44 |
71 |
19 |
5 |
5.72 |
| 40th |
126 |
152 |
45 |
76 |
19 |
5 |
5.43 |
| 50th |
134 |
158 |
46 |
82 |
19 |
5 |
5.17 |
| 60th |
137 |
158 |
45 |
85 |
18 |
5 |
4.93 |
| 70th |
140 |
158 |
45 |
88 |
17 |
4 |
4.69 |
| 80th |
144 |
157 |
44 |
92 |
16 |
4 |
4.38 |
| 90th |
149 |
155 |
42 |
97 |
14 |
3 |
3.99 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 10 |
1.0 |
4.8 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
27 |
134 |
156 |
47 |
87 |
20 |
5 |
5.16 |
1.0 |
0.6 |
2.5 |
| 2010 |
28 |
121 |
141 |
41 |
78 |
18 |
5 |
5.14 |
1.0 |
0.6 |
2.8 |
| 2011 |
29 |
109 |
127 |
36 |
69 |
16 |
4 |
5.08 |
1.0 |
0.6 |
3.0 |
| 2012 |
30 |
98 |
115 |
33 |
61 |
15 |
4 |
5.20 |
1.0 |
0.4 |
2.2 |
| 2013 |
31 |
87 |
103 |
31 |
54 |
13 |
4 |
5.30 |
1.0 |
0.3 |
1.8 |
| 2014 |
32 |
79 |
93 |
28 |
48 |
12 |
3 |
5.25 |
1.0 |
0.3 |
2.0 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.