Baseball Projection.com

Mark Mulder

Age: 31 Team: free
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
2 4 57 72 9 27 29 3 42 39 6.16 12 12

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 41 65 26 18 11 4 9.44
20th 46 66 26 21 10 4 8.02
30th 50 68 26 24 10 3 7.20
40th 53 70 27 26 9 3 6.62
50th 57 72 27 29 9 3 6.16
60th 59 71 26 31 8 3 5.49
70th 62 70 25 33 7 2 4.79
80th 64 68 24 35 6 2 4.36
90th 67 66 23 38 5 1 3.76

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
3 0.3 1.7

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 31 57 72 27 29 9 3 6.14 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 32 51 65 25 26 8 3 6.26 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 33 46 58 23 23 7 3 6.21 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 34 41 53 21 20 7 3 6.57 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 35 37 47 19 18 6 2 6.33 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 36 33 42 18 15 5 2 6.40 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.