Baseball Projection.com

Scott Munter

Age: 29 Team: SFN
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
3 4 61 71 5 23 27 2 35 32 4.72 54 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 45 62 22 18 6 3 6.60
20th 49 65 22 20 6 3 6.06
30th 53 67 22 23 6 2 5.60
40th 57 69 23 25 5 2 5.05
50th 61 71 23 27 5 2 4.72
60th 63 70 22 28 4 2 4.29
70th 64 70 22 30 4 1 4.22
80th 67 69 21 32 3 1 3.63
90th 69 67 20 34 2 1 3.13

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
2 0.2 1.3

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 29 61 71 23 26 5 2 4.75 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 30 54 64 21 23 5 2 4.97 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 31 49 57 20 20 4 2 4.86 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 32 44 52 18 18 4 2 5.03 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 33 39 47 16 16 4 1 5.17 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 34 35 42 15 14 3 1 5.09 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.