Baseball Projection.com

Josh Newman

Age: 27 Team: COL
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
3 3 57 61 7 30 45 3 35 32 5.05 52 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 42 54 28 31 8 4 7.29
20th 46 56 28 35 8 3 6.46
30th 50 57 29 38 7 3 5.58
40th 54 59 29 42 7 3 5.17
50th 57 61 30 45 7 3 5.05
60th 59 61 29 47 7 3 4.73
70th 61 60 29 49 6 2 4.28
80th 63 59 28 52 5 2 3.86
90th 65 57 27 55 4 2 3.32

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
3 0.3 1.7

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 27 58 59 30 45 6 3 4.64 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 28 52 54 26 40 6 2 4.74 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 29 47 48 23 36 5 2 4.58 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 30 42 44 21 32 5 2 4.84 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 31 38 39 19 28 4 2 4.66 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 32 34 36 18 25 4 2 5.01 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.