Jonah Nickerson
Age: 24
Team: DET
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 5 |
7 |
110 |
126 |
21 |
57 |
59 |
4 |
77 |
71 |
5.81 |
21 |
21 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
81 |
113 |
53 |
39 |
23 |
5 |
8.33 |
| 20th |
88 |
115 |
54 |
44 |
22 |
5 |
7.47 |
| 30th |
95 |
119 |
55 |
49 |
22 |
5 |
6.92 |
| 40th |
103 |
122 |
56 |
54 |
21 |
4 |
6.20 |
| 50th |
110 |
126 |
57 |
59 |
21 |
4 |
5.81 |
| 60th |
113 |
125 |
56 |
62 |
20 |
4 |
5.50 |
| 70th |
117 |
123 |
55 |
65 |
18 |
3 |
5.00 |
| 80th |
122 |
120 |
53 |
70 |
16 |
2 |
4.35 |
| 90th |
127 |
117 |
50 |
75 |
14 |
1 |
3.83 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 5 |
0.5 |
2.6 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
24 |
109 |
128 |
58 |
64 |
22 |
4 |
6.12 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2010 |
25 |
99 |
115 |
51 |
58 |
20 |
3 |
5.98 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2011 |
26 |
89 |
104 |
45 |
52 |
18 |
3 |
6.00 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2012 |
27 |
80 |
94 |
40 |
46 |
16 |
3 |
6.02 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2013 |
28 |
72 |
85 |
35 |
41 |
15 |
3 |
6.07 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2014 |
29 |
65 |
77 |
31 |
37 |
13 |
2 |
5.97 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.