Baseball Projection.com

Giuseppe Norrito

Age: 26 Team: WAS
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
2 5 61 74 11 23 26 2 42 39 5.75 13 13

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 44 67 22 16 13 3 8.59
20th 49 68 22 19 12 3 7.35
30th 53 70 23 21 12 2 6.79
40th 57 72 23 24 11 2 6.16
50th 61 74 23 26 11 2 5.75
60th 63 73 22 28 10 2 5.14
70th 65 72 22 29 9 1 4.71
80th 67 71 20 31 8 1 4.16
90th 70 68 19 34 7 0 3.60

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
4 0.4 2.2

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 26 61 74 23 24 11 2 5.69 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 27 55 67 20 22 10 2 5.69 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 28 49 61 18 19 9 2 5.86 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 29 44 55 16 17 8 2 5.88 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 30 40 49 14 15 7 2 5.69 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 31 36 45 13 14 7 1 5.90 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.