Baseball Projection.com

Jhonny Nunez

Age: 23 Team: CHA
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
3 6 84 100 21 46 59 4 67 62 6.64 20 20

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 61 90 43 39 22 5 9.59
20th 67 92 44 44 22 5 8.60
30th 73 94 44 49 21 5 7.64
40th 79 97 45 54 21 4 6.95
50th 84 100 46 59 21 4 6.64
60th 87 99 45 62 20 4 6.10
70th 90 98 44 65 19 3 5.60
80th 93 96 42 69 17 2 5.03
90th 97 92 40 74 15 2 4.27

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
5 0.5 2.6

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 23 86 95 45 63 18 4 5.82 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 24 78 85 40 58 16 4 5.70 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 25 71 76 35 53 14 3 5.46 1.0 0.1 0.5
2012 26 63 69 31 47 13 3 5.66 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 27 57 62 28 42 12 3 5.67 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 28 51 57 24 38 11 2 5.75 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.