Baseball Projection.com

Vladimir Nunez

Age: 34 Team: ATL
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
3 3 50 49 5 25 42 2 26 24 4.32 44 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 38 43 23 30 6 2 5.92
20th 41 44 23 33 5 2 5.05
30th 44 46 24 36 5 2 4.91
40th 47 48 24 39 5 2 4.60
50th 50 49 25 42 5 2 4.32
60th 51 49 25 44 5 2 4.24
70th 53 48 24 45 4 2 3.57
80th 54 48 24 47 4 1 3.50
90th 57 46 23 50 3 1 3.00

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
2 0.2 1.3

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 34 49 51 25 39 5 2 4.69 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 35 44 46 23 34 5 2 4.84 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 36 40 41 21 30 4 2 4.66 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 37 36 38 19 27 4 1 4.84 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 38 32 33 18 23 3 1 4.70 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 39 28 31 16 20 3 1 5.22 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.