Michael O'Connor
Age: 28
Team: WAS
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 4 |
6 |
89 |
96 |
15 |
31 |
57 |
3 |
52 |
48 |
4.85 |
18 |
18 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
67 |
84 |
29 |
40 |
16 |
4 |
6.58 |
| 20th |
72 |
88 |
29 |
44 |
16 |
3 |
6.13 |
| 30th |
78 |
90 |
30 |
49 |
15 |
3 |
5.54 |
| 40th |
83 |
93 |
30 |
53 |
15 |
3 |
5.20 |
| 50th |
89 |
96 |
31 |
57 |
15 |
3 |
4.85 |
| 60th |
91 |
95 |
30 |
59 |
14 |
3 |
4.55 |
| 70th |
94 |
94 |
30 |
62 |
13 |
2 |
4.12 |
| 80th |
97 |
93 |
29 |
65 |
12 |
2 |
3.90 |
| 90th |
100 |
91 |
27 |
68 |
11 |
2 |
3.51 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 8 |
0.8 |
3.9 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
28 |
88 |
97 |
31 |
53 |
15 |
3 |
5.03 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
2.1 |
| 2010 |
29 |
80 |
88 |
27 |
47 |
14 |
2 |
4.98 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
2.3 |
| 2011 |
30 |
72 |
79 |
25 |
42 |
12 |
2 |
4.95 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
2.5 |
| 2012 |
31 |
64 |
71 |
23 |
37 |
11 |
2 |
5.08 |
1.0 |
0.4 |
2.2 |
| 2013 |
32 |
58 |
64 |
21 |
33 |
10 |
2 |
5.08 |
1.0 |
0.3 |
1.8 |
| 2014 |
33 |
52 |
58 |
19 |
29 |
9 |
2 |
5.16 |
1.0 |
0.2 |
1.3 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.