Ryan O'Malley
Age: 29
Team: CHA
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 3 |
6 |
84 |
112 |
17 |
30 |
40 |
4 |
65 |
60 |
6.43 |
17 |
17 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
63 |
98 |
28 |
27 |
18 |
5 |
8.57 |
| 20th |
68 |
101 |
29 |
30 |
17 |
5 |
7.94 |
| 30th |
74 |
104 |
29 |
34 |
17 |
4 |
7.18 |
| 40th |
79 |
108 |
29 |
37 |
17 |
4 |
6.72 |
| 50th |
84 |
112 |
30 |
40 |
17 |
4 |
6.43 |
| 60th |
87 |
111 |
29 |
42 |
16 |
4 |
5.90 |
| 70th |
89 |
111 |
29 |
44 |
15 |
3 |
5.66 |
| 80th |
92 |
110 |
28 |
46 |
14 |
3 |
5.28 |
| 90th |
96 |
108 |
26 |
50 |
13 |
2 |
4.69 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 4 |
0.4 |
2.2 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
29 |
86 |
106 |
30 |
43 |
14 |
4 |
5.66 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2010 |
30 |
77 |
97 |
27 |
38 |
13 |
3 |
5.82 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2011 |
31 |
69 |
87 |
25 |
33 |
12 |
3 |
5.91 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2012 |
32 |
62 |
78 |
23 |
30 |
11 |
3 |
5.96 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2013 |
33 |
56 |
71 |
21 |
26 |
10 |
2 |
5.99 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2014 |
34 |
50 |
64 |
19 |
23 |
9 |
2 |
6.09 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.