Sean O'Sullivan
Age: 21
Team: LAA
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 5 |
8 |
116 |
137 |
19 |
61 |
56 |
7 |
83 |
77 |
5.97 |
21 |
21 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
85 |
121 |
57 |
37 |
21 |
8 |
8.47 |
| 20th |
93 |
124 |
58 |
42 |
20 |
8 |
7.55 |
| 30th |
101 |
129 |
58 |
47 |
20 |
8 |
6.95 |
| 40th |
108 |
133 |
60 |
51 |
19 |
7 |
6.42 |
| 50th |
116 |
137 |
61 |
56 |
19 |
7 |
5.97 |
| 60th |
119 |
136 |
60 |
59 |
18 |
6 |
5.52 |
| 70th |
123 |
135 |
59 |
62 |
16 |
6 |
5.05 |
| 80th |
128 |
132 |
57 |
66 |
14 |
5 |
4.50 |
| 90th |
133 |
129 |
54 |
71 |
12 |
4 |
3.92 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 5 |
0.5 |
2.6 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
21 |
116 |
135 |
62 |
60 |
20 |
7 |
5.93 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2010 |
22 |
105 |
121 |
55 |
55 |
18 |
6 |
5.82 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2011 |
23 |
95 |
109 |
48 |
51 |
16 |
5 |
5.71 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2012 |
24 |
86 |
97 |
43 |
47 |
14 |
5 |
5.57 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2013 |
25 |
77 |
88 |
38 |
42 |
13 |
4 |
5.65 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2014 |
26 |
70 |
80 |
33 |
38 |
12 |
4 |
5.62 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.