Baseball Projection.com

Will Ohman

Age: 31 Team: LAN
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
3 3 52 48 4 21 47 2 23 21 3.63 68 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 38 43 20 33 5 3 5.45
20th 42 44 20 37 5 2 4.71
30th 45 45 20 40 4 2 4.20
40th 48 47 21 43 4 2 3.94
50th 52 48 21 47 4 2 3.63
60th 53 48 21 49 4 2 3.57
70th 55 47 20 51 3 2 3.11
80th 57 46 19 54 3 1 2.84
90th 59 44 18 57 2 1 2.29

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
5 0.5 2.6

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 31 51 50 21 43 4 2 3.96 1.0 0.4 1.7
2010 32 46 45 19 38 3 2 3.87 1.0 0.4 1.8
2011 33 41 41 18 34 3 1 4.05 1.0 0.2 1.0
2012 34 37 37 16 30 3 1 4.10 1.0 0.2 1.1
2013 35 33 34 15 26 3 1 4.38 1.0 0.1 0.6
2014 36 29 30 14 23 2 1 4.33 1.0 0.1 0.7

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.