Hideki Okajima
Age: 33
Team: BOS
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 4 |
2 |
60 |
55 |
5 |
21 |
55 |
2 |
25 |
23 |
3.45 |
62 |
0 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
45 |
49 |
20 |
38 |
6 |
3 |
5.00 |
| 20th |
49 |
51 |
20 |
43 |
6 |
2 |
4.59 |
| 30th |
53 |
52 |
20 |
47 |
5 |
2 |
3.91 |
| 40th |
56 |
53 |
21 |
51 |
5 |
2 |
3.70 |
| 50th |
60 |
55 |
21 |
55 |
5 |
2 |
3.45 |
| 60th |
62 |
55 |
20 |
57 |
5 |
2 |
3.34 |
| 70th |
64 |
53 |
20 |
60 |
4 |
2 |
2.81 |
| 80th |
66 |
52 |
19 |
63 |
3 |
1 |
2.59 |
| 90th |
68 |
50 |
18 |
66 |
2 |
1 |
2.12 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 9 |
1.3 |
6.1 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
33 |
61 |
53 |
21 |
60 |
5 |
2 |
3.28 |
1.5 |
1.3 |
5.5 |
| 2010 |
34 |
54 |
48 |
19 |
53 |
5 |
2 |
3.47 |
1.3 |
0.8 |
4.1 |
| 2011 |
35 |
49 |
43 |
18 |
47 |
4 |
1 |
3.34 |
1.4 |
0.9 |
5.0 |
| 2012 |
36 |
44 |
40 |
16 |
41 |
4 |
1 |
3.55 |
1.2 |
0.6 |
3.3 |
| 2013 |
37 |
39 |
36 |
15 |
36 |
3 |
1 |
3.57 |
1.2 |
0.6 |
3.6 |
| 2014 |
38 |
35 |
32 |
14 |
32 |
3 |
1 |
3.64 |
1.1 |
0.4 |
3.0 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.