Justin Orenduff
Age: 26
Team: LAN
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 4 |
6 |
90 |
94 |
19 |
50 |
70 |
5 |
61 |
56 |
5.6 |
21 |
21 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
67 |
82 |
45 |
50 |
19 |
6 |
7.52 |
| 20th |
73 |
85 |
46 |
55 |
19 |
5 |
6.90 |
| 30th |
79 |
88 |
47 |
60 |
19 |
5 |
6.38 |
| 40th |
84 |
91 |
49 |
65 |
19 |
5 |
6.00 |
| 50th |
90 |
94 |
50 |
70 |
19 |
5 |
5.60 |
| 60th |
92 |
93 |
49 |
73 |
18 |
5 |
5.38 |
| 70th |
95 |
94 |
49 |
75 |
18 |
4 |
5.12 |
| 80th |
98 |
91 |
48 |
79 |
16 |
4 |
4.50 |
| 90th |
101 |
90 |
46 |
83 |
15 |
3 |
4.10 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 3 |
0.3 |
1.7 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
26 |
89 |
97 |
50 |
64 |
18 |
5 |
5.85 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2010 |
27 |
80 |
88 |
44 |
57 |
17 |
4 |
5.92 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2011 |
28 |
72 |
80 |
39 |
51 |
15 |
4 |
5.94 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2012 |
29 |
65 |
72 |
34 |
46 |
13 |
4 |
5.83 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2013 |
30 |
58 |
65 |
31 |
41 |
12 |
3 |
5.94 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2014 |
31 |
52 |
58 |
29 |
36 |
11 |
3 |
6.04 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.