Baseball Projection.com

Anthony Ortega

Age: 23 Team: LAA

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Won	Lost	IP	Hits	HR	BB	SO	HB	Runs	ER	ERA	Games	GS
6	8	125	144	19	58	65	7	83	77	5.54	23	23

**Percentiles**
Percentile	Innings	Hits	BB	SO	HR	HB	ERA
10th	94	125	52	45	20	8	7.28
20th	102	130	54	50	20	7	6.71
30th	110	134	55	55	19	7	6.14
40th	117	139	57	60	19	7	5.85
50th	125	144	58	65	19	7	5.54
60th	128	144	57	68	18	7	5.27
70th	132	143	57	71	17	6	4.91
80th	136	142	55	74	16	5	4.50
90th	140	140	53	78	14	5	4.11

Weighted Value above replacement
Runs Wins Value ($mil)

7 0.7 3.5

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEAR AGE Innings Hits BB SO HR HB ERA Ex. Lev WAR Value ($mil)
2009 23 125 142 59 69 20 7 5.52 1.0 0.0 0.4

2010 24 114 127 52 64 18 6 5.34 1.0 0.3 1.4

2011 25 103 114 46 58 16 5 5.25 1.0 0.4 2.0

2012 26 92 103 41 52 14 5 5.31 1.0 0.3 1.7

2013 27 83 94 36 46 13 4 5.35 1.0 0.2 1.2

2014 28 75 85 32 41 12 4 5.37 1.0 0.2 1.3

**Weighted Value above replacement**
Runs	Wins	Value ($mil)
7	0.7	3.5

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Innings	Hits	BB	SO	HR	HB	ERA	Ex. Lev	WAR	Value ($mil)
2009	23	125	142	59	69	20	7	5.52	1.0	0.0	0.4
2010	24	114	127	52	64	18	6	5.34	1.0	0.3	1.4
2011	25	103	114	46	58	16	5	5.25	1.0	0.4	2.0
2012	26	92	103	41	52	14	5	5.31	1.0	0.3	1.7
2013	27	83	94	36	46	13	4	5.35	1.0	0.2	1.2
2014	28	75	85	32	41	12	4	5.37	1.0	0.2	1.3

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.