Paul Oseguera
Age: 25
Team: SFN
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 3 |
5 |
71 |
81 |
12 |
37 |
48 |
3 |
49 |
45 |
5.7 |
15 |
15 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
51 |
73 |
35 |
32 |
14 |
4 |
8.65 |
| 20th |
56 |
75 |
35 |
36 |
13 |
4 |
7.55 |
| 30th |
61 |
77 |
36 |
40 |
13 |
3 |
6.79 |
| 40th |
66 |
79 |
36 |
44 |
12 |
3 |
6.14 |
| 50th |
71 |
81 |
37 |
48 |
12 |
3 |
5.70 |
| 60th |
73 |
80 |
36 |
50 |
11 |
3 |
5.30 |
| 70th |
76 |
79 |
35 |
53 |
10 |
2 |
4.74 |
| 80th |
78 |
77 |
34 |
56 |
9 |
2 |
4.27 |
| 90th |
82 |
75 |
32 |
60 |
7 |
1 |
3.51 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 4 |
0.4 |
2.2 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
25 |
70 |
82 |
37 |
46 |
13 |
3 |
5.99 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2010 |
26 |
64 |
74 |
33 |
41 |
12 |
2 |
5.85 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2011 |
27 |
57 |
67 |
29 |
37 |
11 |
2 |
5.97 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2012 |
28 |
51 |
61 |
26 |
33 |
10 |
2 |
6.12 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2013 |
29 |
46 |
55 |
23 |
29 |
9 |
2 |
6.10 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2014 |
30 |
42 |
49 |
21 |
26 |
8 |
2 |
5.93 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.