Baseball Projection.com

Vicente Padilla

Age: 31 Team: TEX

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Won	Lost	IP	Hits	HR	BB	SO	HB	Runs	ER	ERA	Games	GS
8	8	152	167	19	60	107	11	90	83	4.91	27	27

**Percentiles**
Percentile	Innings	Hits	BB	SO	HR	HB	ERA
10th	116	142	53	78	19	11	6.13
20th	125	148	55	85	19	11	5.76
30th	134	154	56	93	19	11	5.37
40th	143	161	58	100	19	11	5.10
50th	152	167	60	107	19	11	4.91
60th	155	167	60	110	18	11	4.70
70th	159	168	59	114	18	10	4.53
80th	164	166	58	119	16	9	4.12
90th	168	165	56	124	15	9	3.86

Weighted Value above replacement
Runs Wins Value ($mil)

19 1.8 8.3

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEAR AGE Innings Hits BB SO HR HB ERA Ex. Lev WAR Value ($mil)
2009 31 154 160 60 116 17 11 4.49 1.0 1.8 8.0

2010 32 138 145 55 103 16 10 4.62 1.0 1.4 6.9

2011 33 124 130 51 91 14 9 4.62 1.0 1.3 7.1

2012 34 111 118 47 80 13 8 4.76 1.0 1.0 5.6

2013 35 99 107 43 71 12 7 4.90 1.0 0.8 4.9

2014 36 89 96 39 62 10 6 4.83 1.0 0.8 5.4

**Weighted Value above replacement**
Runs	Wins	Value ($mil)
19	1.8	8.3

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Innings	Hits	BB	SO	HR	HB	ERA	Ex. Lev	WAR	Value ($mil)
2009	31	154	160	60	116	17	11	4.49	1.0	1.8	8.0
2010	32	138	145	55	103	16	10	4.62	1.0	1.4	6.9
2011	33	124	130	51	91	14	9	4.62	1.0	1.3	7.1
2012	34	111	118	47	80	13	8	4.76	1.0	1.0	5.6
2013	35	99	107	43	71	12	7	4.90	1.0	0.8	4.9
2014	36	89	96	39	62	10	6	4.83	1.0	0.8	5.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.