Baseball Projection.com

Matt Palmer

Age: 30 Team: LAA

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Won	Lost	IP	Hits	HR	BB	SO	HB	Runs	ER	ERA	Games	GS
7	9	137	151	18	69	96	8	86	80	5.26	26	26

**Percentiles**
Percentile	Innings	Hits	BB	SO	HR	HB	ERA
10th	104	130	61	69	19	9	6.75
20th	112	135	63	76	18	8	6.19
30th	121	140	65	83	18	8	5.80
40th	129	146	67	89	18	8	5.51
50th	137	151	69	96	18	8	5.26
60th	140	151	69	99	17	8	5.01
70th	144	151	68	103	16	7	4.69
80th	148	150	67	107	15	6	4.38
90th	152	149	65	112	14	6	4.09

Weighted Value above replacement
Runs Wins Value ($mil)

10 1.0 4.8

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEAR AGE Innings Hits BB SO HR HB ERA Ex. Lev WAR Value ($mil)
2009 30 138 148 70 102 19 8 5.12 1.0 0.7 2.9

2010 31 123 134 64 90 17 7 5.25 1.0 0.4 1.8

2011 32 111 120 59 80 15 6 5.21 1.0 0.4 2.0

2012 33 99 109 54 70 14 6 5.41 1.0 0.2 1.1

2013 34 89 98 50 62 12 5 5.40 1.0 0.1 0.6

2014 35 79 88 46 55 11 5 5.58 1.0 0.0 0.4

**Weighted Value above replacement**
Runs	Wins	Value ($mil)
10	1.0	4.8

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Innings	Hits	BB	SO	HR	HB	ERA	Ex. Lev	WAR	Value ($mil)
2009	30	138	148	70	102	19	8	5.12	1.0	0.7	2.9
2010	31	123	134	64	90	17	7	5.25	1.0	0.4	1.8
2011	32	111	120	59	80	15	6	5.21	1.0	0.4	2.0
2012	33	99	109	54	70	14	6	5.41	1.0	0.2	1.1
2013	34	89	98	50	62	12	5	5.40	1.0	0.1	0.6
2014	35	79	88	46	55	11	5	5.58	1.0	0.0	0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.