Baseball Projection.com

James Parr

Age: 23 Team: ATL

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Won	Lost	IP	Hits	HR	BB	SO	HB	Runs	ER	ERA	Games	GS
7	8	139	146	21	56	96	4	80	74	4.79	26	26

**Percentiles**
Percentile	Innings	Hits	BB	SO	HR	HB	ERA
10th	105	127	51	69	22	5	6.26
20th	114	131	52	76	21	5	5.68
30th	123	136	53	83	21	4	5.27
40th	131	141	55	89	21	4	5.02
50th	139	146	56	96	21	4	4.79
60th	142	146	55	99	20	4	4.56
70th	146	145	55	103	19	3	4.25
80th	150	144	53	108	18	3	4.02
90th	155	141	52	113	16	2	3.60

Weighted Value above replacement
Runs Wins Value ($mil)

11 1.0 4.8

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEAR AGE Innings Hits BB SO HR HB ERA Ex. Lev WAR Value ($mil)
2009 23 138 150 56 89 22 4 5.02 1.0 0.9 3.8

2010 24 124 135 49 83 20 4 5.02 1.0 0.8 3.7

2011 25 112 121 44 74 18 4 4.98 1.0 0.8 4.1

2012 26 101 109 38 67 16 3 4.90 1.0 0.8 4.5

2013 27 91 99 34 59 14 3 4.91 1.0 0.7 4.3

2014 28 82 89 30 53 13 3 4.92 1.0 0.6 4.0

**Weighted Value above replacement**
Runs	Wins	Value ($mil)
11	1.0	4.8

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Innings	Hits	BB	SO	HR	HB	ERA	Ex. Lev	WAR	Value ($mil)
2009	23	138	150	56	89	22	4	5.02	1.0	0.9	3.8
2010	24	124	135	49	83	20	4	5.02	1.0	0.8	3.7
2011	25	112	121	44	74	18	4	4.98	1.0	0.8	4.1
2012	26	101	109	38	67	16	3	4.90	1.0	0.8	4.5
2013	27	91	99	34	59	14	3	4.91	1.0	0.7	4.3
2014	28	82	89	30	53	13	3	4.92	1.0	0.6	4.0

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.