Baseball Projection.com

Rich Paz

Age: 31 Team: HOU

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Games	Atbats	Runs	Hits	2B	3B	HR	RBI	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG	R150	POS	Speed
85	277	26	69	14	1	4	35	2	1	40	53	3	0.249	0.350	0.350	-12	3B	3

**Percentiles**
Percentile	LW Runs	vs. Repl	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
10th	-2	0	12	2	0	0	0	1	3	0	0.167	0.231	0.167
20th	-5	0	80	17	3	0	1	10	17	0	0.213	0.300	0.288
30th	-9	0	146	33	6	0	2	19	30	1	0.226	0.319	0.308
40th	-7	1	212	50	10	1	3	29	42	2	0.236	0.333	0.335
50th	-6	4	277	69	14	1	4	40	53	3	0.249	0.350	0.350
60th	-1	11	332	87	19	2	6	50	60	4	0.262	0.365	0.386
70th	4	18	386	106	24	3	8	61	67	5	0.275	0.381	0.415
80th	14	31	438	126	29	4	11	73	73	7	0.288	0.398	0.447
90th	23	42	489	146	35	6	13	86	78	9	0.299	0.413	0.474

Weighted Batting Runs over Replacement:

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
2009	31	278	69	14	1	4	2	1	39	53	3	0.248	0.347	0.349
2010	32	264	65	13	1	4	2	1	37	50	3	0.246	0.345	0.348
2011	33	251	60	12	1	3	1	0	36	49	2	0.239	0.339	0.331
2012	34	239	56	11	1	3	1	0	34	48	2	0.234	0.335	0.326
2013	35	227	52	10	1	3	1	0	32	45	2	0.229	0.330	0.322
2014	36	215	48	9	1	3	1	0	31	43	2	0.223	0.327	0.316

**Defensive Projection**
Position	1B	2B	3B	SS	OF	CF	C
Runs	--	-7	-7	--	--	--	--

Defensive projections based on major and minor league TotalZone ratings

**Simple Player Valuation**
if Defense is:	Wins above Rep	Dollar Value ($mil)
Excellent (+15 runs)	1.9	8.4
Good (+7 runs)	1.6	7
Average (0 runs)	1.3	5.7
Poor (-7 runs)	1	4.4
Putrid (-15 runs)	0.7	3.1

Player valuation is based on 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009. It includes weighted batting runs above replacement, position adjustment, baserunning based on speed score, and YOU provide the defense estimate based on the above chart.

**Fantasy Valuation**
League type	20th	50th	80th
12 team mixed	1	1	1
12 team AL or NL only	1	1	6

Fantasy baseball value assumes a standard $260 salary cap.