Baseball Projection.com

Luis Perdomo

Age: 25 Team: SFN
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
3 4 56 55 8 30 48 2 32 30 4.82 50 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 40 51 29 32 10 3 7.65
20th 44 52 29 36 9 3 6.55
30th 48 53 29 40 9 2 5.81
40th 52 54 30 44 8 2 5.19
50th 56 55 30 48 8 2 4.82
60th 58 54 29 50 7 2 4.19
70th 60 53 28 53 6 1 3.75
80th 62 51 27 56 5 1 3.19
90th 65 49 25 61 4 0 2.63

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
3 0.3 1.7

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 25 55 56 30 46 9 2 5.08 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 26 50 50 27 41 8 2 4.96 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 27 45 46 24 36 7 2 5.03 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 28 40 41 21 33 6 2 5.00 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 29 36 38 18 29 6 2 5.22 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 30 33 34 17 26 5 1 4.95 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.