Nick Pereira
Age: 26
Team: SFN
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 5 |
8 |
117 |
122 |
17 |
60 |
90 |
6 |
71 |
66 |
5.08 |
22 |
22 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
88 |
106 |
54 |
64 |
18 |
7 |
6.65 |
| 20th |
96 |
110 |
55 |
71 |
18 |
6 |
6.09 |
| 30th |
103 |
114 |
57 |
77 |
17 |
6 |
5.68 |
| 40th |
110 |
118 |
58 |
84 |
17 |
6 |
5.32 |
| 50th |
117 |
122 |
60 |
90 |
17 |
6 |
5.08 |
| 60th |
120 |
122 |
59 |
93 |
16 |
6 |
4.80 |
| 70th |
124 |
121 |
59 |
97 |
15 |
5 |
4.43 |
| 80th |
127 |
120 |
57 |
101 |
14 |
5 |
4.11 |
| 90th |
132 |
117 |
56 |
106 |
12 |
4 |
3.61 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 8 |
0.8 |
3.9 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
26 |
116 |
124 |
61 |
86 |
19 |
6 |
5.33 |
1.0 |
0.3 |
1.3 |
| 2010 |
27 |
105 |
112 |
53 |
77 |
17 |
5 |
5.24 |
1.0 |
0.4 |
1.8 |
| 2011 |
28 |
95 |
101 |
47 |
68 |
15 |
5 |
5.18 |
1.0 |
0.4 |
2.0 |
| 2012 |
29 |
85 |
92 |
42 |
61 |
14 |
4 |
5.31 |
1.0 |
0.2 |
1.1 |
| 2013 |
30 |
77 |
82 |
38 |
54 |
12 |
4 |
5.17 |
1.0 |
0.3 |
1.8 |
| 2014 |
31 |
69 |
74 |
35 |
48 |
11 |
3 |
5.25 |
1.0 |
0.2 |
1.3 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.