Baseball Projection.com

Odalis Perez

Age: 32 Team: free
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
7 8 134 154 16 46 84 5 78 72 4.84 26 26

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 103 131 41 61 16 6 5.94
20th 111 137 42 67 16 5 5.51
30th 118 143 43 73 16 5 5.34
40th 126 148 45 78 16 5 5.07
50th 134 154 46 84 16 5 4.84
60th 137 154 46 87 15 5 4.66
70th 140 155 45 90 15 4 4.50
80th 144 153 44 94 13 4 4.13
90th 148 152 43 98 12 3 3.83

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
12 1.1 5.2

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 32 134 154 46 84 16 5 4.87 1.0 1.0 4.6
2010 33 120 139 42 74 14 5 4.93 1.0 0.8 4.1
2011 34 108 125 39 65 13 4 4.97 1.0 0.7 3.5
2012 35 97 113 35 58 12 4 5.04 1.0 0.6 3.3
2013 36 86 102 33 51 11 4 5.26 1.0 0.3 1.8
2014 37 78 92 30 45 10 3 5.20 1.0 0.3 2.0

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.