Oliver Perez
Age: 27
Team: NYN
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 10 |
9 |
169 |
155 |
22 |
83 |
156 |
8 |
87 |
80 |
4.26 |
30 |
30 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
129 |
133 |
73 |
116 |
22 |
8 |
5.37 |
| 20th |
139 |
138 |
75 |
126 |
22 |
8 |
4.99 |
| 30th |
149 |
144 |
78 |
136 |
22 |
8 |
4.77 |
| 40th |
159 |
150 |
80 |
146 |
22 |
8 |
4.53 |
| 50th |
169 |
155 |
83 |
156 |
22 |
8 |
4.26 |
| 60th |
172 |
155 |
83 |
161 |
21 |
8 |
4.13 |
| 70th |
177 |
155 |
82 |
166 |
20 |
7 |
3.86 |
| 80th |
181 |
154 |
81 |
171 |
19 |
7 |
3.63 |
| 90th |
186 |
152 |
80 |
178 |
18 |
6 |
3.39 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 19 |
1.8 |
8.3 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
27 |
167 |
160 |
84 |
147 |
24 |
8 |
4.60 |
1.0 |
1.8 |
8.0 |
| 2010 |
28 |
150 |
146 |
74 |
131 |
22 |
7 |
4.66 |
1.0 |
1.5 |
7.4 |
| 2011 |
29 |
135 |
132 |
65 |
117 |
20 |
7 |
4.68 |
1.0 |
1.3 |
7.1 |
| 2012 |
30 |
121 |
119 |
60 |
104 |
18 |
6 |
4.74 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
6.7 |
| 2013 |
31 |
109 |
107 |
55 |
92 |
16 |
5 |
4.73 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
6.7 |
| 2014 |
32 |
97 |
97 |
50 |
81 |
14 |
5 |
4.85 |
1.0 |
0.8 |
5.4 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.