Baseball Projection.com

Oneli Perez

Age: 26 Team: NYA
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
3 3 54 58 9 25 46 2 33 31 5.17 49 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 40 52 24 31 10 3 7.43
20th 43 54 24 35 10 3 6.91
30th 47 55 24 39 9 2 5.94
40th 51 56 25 42 9 2 5.47
50th 54 58 25 46 9 2 5.17
60th 56 57 24 48 8 2 4.66
70th 58 57 24 50 8 1 4.34
80th 60 55 23 53 7 1 3.75
90th 62 54 22 56 6 1 3.34

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
2 0.2 1.3

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 26 55 56 26 49 9 2 4.89 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 27 49 51 23 43 8 2 5.00 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 28 44 46 20 39 7 2 4.97 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 29 40 41 18 34 6 2 4.81 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 30 36 38 16 31 6 2 5.08 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 31 32 34 15 27 5 1 5.03 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.